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—————————————————————————————————————————————2011-10-01 09:18:21 新浪博客 刘建位__学习巴菲特
沃伦巴菲特表示，他认为“美国经济重新出现衰退非常非常不可能。”他表示，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司今年将在工厂和设备中投资70亿美元，其中的90%将会是在美国境内。
巴菲特否认经济衰退说 三季度购入40亿美元股票
2011年10月01日00:39腾讯财经我要评论(0)
字号：T|T
腾讯财经讯 北京时间10月1日凌晨消息，亿万富翁投资者沃伦巴菲特周五表示，他管理的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司还继续趁目前的低迷股价采购，这其中还包括了自己公司的股票。
沃伦巴菲特是在纽约证券交易所场内接受CNBC现场访问时作出以上表示的。他指出，伯克希尔哈撒韦已经在截止今天结束的一个季度内净购入了价值40亿美元的股票，这几乎相当于公司在今年上半年购入的数量。他在访问中表示，“股价越便宜，我越喜欢买，不管是我自己的还是别人的公司。”
沃伦巴菲特还指出，现在伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价已经相当有吸引力了，而且公司刚刚开始了回购部分股票的计划。周一公布的这一回购计划普遍令市场感到意外。沃伦巴菲特在访问中没有透露具体的回购数量，并强调，“相关的文书工作也只是昨天刚刚完成。一切都取决于价格，越便宜，跌得越厉害，我们买得越多。这对任何股票都是一样的。”
不过沃伦巴菲特也否认了股票回购计划是对发现新的收购目标有些悲观的表现，他表示，还在继续寻找合适的收购对象。
在被问到会不会担心大规模采购会刚好遇到美国经济的“双底衰退”时，被称为奥马哈先知的沃伦巴菲特表示，他认为“美国经济重新出现衰退非常非常不可能。”他表示，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司今年将在工厂和设备中投资70亿美元，其中的90%将会是在美国境内。
沃伦巴菲特周五上午参加了纽约证券交易所的开盘仪式，以庆祝他旗下信息供应公司商业资讯（Business
Wire）的50岁生日。今天晚上他还将在曼哈顿主持一个帮助奥巴马总统连任竞选筹款的晚会。 （孔军）
Warren Buffett Buying Stock Bargains with U.S. Recession
'Very, Very Unlikely'
Published: Friday, 30 Sep 2011 | 10:22 AM ET Text
Size
By: Alex Crippen
Executive Producer
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44730146
Warren Buffett says Berkshire Hathaway has been buying stocks
at bargain prices, including shares of his own company.
In a live interview on CNBC from the floor of the New York
Stock Exchange, Buffett revealed Berkshire has bought a net total
of $4 billion worth of common stocks during the quarter that ends
today. That's about as much as the company bought
in the first half of the year.
He tells Squawk Box co-host Andrew Ross Sorkin, "The cheaper
stocks get, the better I like to buy them, whether its our stock or
somebody else's."
Buffett says he thinks Berkshire's market price is very
attractive, and the company has just begun to repurchase some
shares under the surprise buyback program announced on Monday.
Buffett wouldn't reveal how much has been bought,
noting the "paperwork was just completed yesterday."
It all depends on the price.
"The cheaper it is, the more aggressive,
generally, we will be buying. It's just like any
other stock."
TRANSCRIPT OF CNBC'S BUFFETT INTERVIEW
GOP CLAIMS BUFFETT DISAGREES WITH OBAMA'S 'BUFFETT RULE'
Buffett says the buyback program should not be seen as a sign
he's pessimistic about finding potential acquisitions, and he's
still looking for "elephants" to buy.
The Omaha billionaire isn't worried his new purchases will be
caught up in a 'double-dip' for the U.S. economy.
He thinks "it's very, very unlikely we'll go back
into a recession... We're coming out of a recession."
Buffett tells us profits for Berkshire's businesses are
improving and the company will invest $7 billion in its plants and
equipment this year. Ninety percent of that money
will be spent in the United States.
Buffett was at the NYSE for this morning's Opening Bell
ceremony, marking the 50th anniversary of Business Wire, a
Berkshire subsidiary.
Tonight he hosts a fundraiser in Manhattan for President
Obama's re-election campaign.
CNBC TRANSCRIPT: Warren Buffett Thinks Double-Dip is 'Very,
Very Unlikely'
Published: Friday, 30 Sep 2011 | 12:54 PM ET Text
Size
By: Alex Crippen
Executive Producer
Ben Hider/NYSE Euronext
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44730157
Warren Buffett and Business Wire CEO Cathy Baron Tamraz on the
floor of the New York Stock Exchange, September 30, 2011.
This is a transcript of Warren Buffett's live interview on
CNBC with Andrew Ross Sorkin on Friday, September 30, 2011.
In it, Buffett says he thinks it is "very, very
unlikely" the U.S. economy will go back into recession.
He also reveals that Berkshire has been buying
billions of dollars worth of inexpensive stocks during the third
quarter, and has just started to repurchase its own shares:
SIMON HOBBS, CNBC: Let's go down to the
floor. Andrew Ross Sorkin is there with a very special guest this
Friday morning. Good morning, Andrew.
ANDREW ROSS SORKIN, CNBC: Good morning. We
are here with the one and only, the "Oracle of Omaha," Warren
Buffett. We're also here with Cathy Baron Tamraz.
You're here for the 50th anniversary of Business
Wire, so congratulations to you, Cathy.
CATHY BARON TAMRAZ, Business Wire Chairman &
CEO: Thank you so much.
ANDREW: I want to get to you in a second and this anniversary,
but I also want to get to buybacks, which are in the news this
week. You just announced it.
Why do it now? I think there's
a big question, Buffett watchers who've seen you over many years,
you have not always liked buybacks. So what is it
about what's going on right now?
WARREN BUFFETT, Berkshire Hathaway CEO:
Price to value. I mean, the only — the only time
to do buybacks, in my view, is when you think your stock is selling
well below its intrinsic business value. And we
talk— we've talked about that in many annual reports over the
years, and we haven't had very many opportunities to do it.
Now we think that...
ANDREW: OK. So you've instituted the program, but the big
question that viewers want to know is, have you actually started
buying yet?
BUFFETT: We actually have.
ANDREW: You have started buying yet.
BUFFETT: Yeah, yeah.
ANDREW: OK. And how much can we expect for
you to buy? I know you said that you wanted to
keep a $20 billion kitty at all times. You have
about $40 billion on hand right now.
BUFFETT: Yeah. Well, we don't have quite that much, but the
cheaper it is, the more aggressive, generally, we will be in terms
of buying. It's just like buying any other
stock.
ANDREW: And how much have you bought so far?
BUFFETT: We only got the paperwork done yesterday.
ANDREW: OK. And what does this say, and then I want to get to
Cathy, what does this say more in a larger picture about your
ability to find elephants? You always talk about
your trigger finger.
BUFFETT: That's what I'm looking for.
ANDREW: Well, I know that, but in terms of moving money into
your own stock, does it mean that you're not finding the same kind
of opportunities right now, given the markets?
BUFFETT: We find opportunities periodically.
I mean, we did the BofA deal, we did Lubrizol, we
put 9, almost $9 billion in Lubrizol. We just
announced yesterday a $400 million acquisition for an insurance
company. Just yesterday. We've
bought, in the last quarter, the third— in the current quarter, we
bought net 4 billion of common equities, which was similar to the
total amount we bought in the first half. The
cheaper stocks get, the better I like to buy them, whether it's our
stock or somebody else's.
ANDREW: So there's still— there's still— we should still see
you make a big deal.
BUFFETT: You...
ANDREW: And this is not...
BUFFETT: I sure hope so.
ANDREW: And the buyback is not an announcement that you're
taking...
BUFFETT: Oh no.
ANDREW: ...money into your own stock.
BUFFETT: No.
ANDREW: OK. Cathy, Mr. Buffett bought your
company in 2006. You've lasted 50 years through all sorts of
different business cycles, and yet we're living now in the age of
the Internet and Twitter. And the SEC has now
told companies that they can actually put their press releases up
online. What do you do to defend your business
and, frankly, to grow your business in this environment?
TAMRAZ: Well, actually our business is growing in this
environment. We also are creating websites for
companies that want to put their releases online.
But that's not the way to put out breaking news.
And that's what we do at Business Wire.
And as long as we can push that news out to the
investing public, I think it's the best way to go.
BUFFETT: If I— if I want to know what's going on at Bank of
America, I do not want to have a website tuned to that all day.
I want to get it instantly from CNBC, and the way
that they'll get it is, you know, is from Business Wire.
ANDREW: Right. I would— I would be remiss if I didn't mention
that one of the other reasons you're in town is for this Obama
fundraiser tonight at the Four Seasons.
BUFFETT: Right. Yeah.
ANDREW: And I wanted to ask you specifically, so many people
in the business community say that the president is anti-business.
Do you believe he's anti-business...
BUFFETT: No.
ANDREW: ...when you think about his rhetoric?
And why not?
BUFFETT: No. Well, I mean, I...
ANDREW: Rhetoric and policies, by the way.
There's so many people who have said...
BUFFETT: Oh, I mean, he took action to save General Motors and
Chrysler. I mean, he backed programs that have
kept the banks around and, in the process, rejuvenated the economy.
He knows, and he knew it 10 years ago, to be
president of the United States...
ANDREW: Right.
BUFFETT: ...particularly in the second term, you better have
business doing well. And he wants it to do well.
ANDREW: So the talk of higher taxes and more regulation, you
don't think is creating more uncertainty in the business
community?
BUFFETT: I don't— I don't have any...
ANDREW: What do you tell the CEOs who talk to you about
this?
BUFFETT: I don't have any uncertainty. We
are investing at Berkshire a record $7 billion in plant and
equipment this year. Never before that much;
90-plus percent is in the United States. We're
seeing our businesses doing well. Business is
coming back in the United States.
ANDREW: OK. Let's talk about the ‘Buffett Rule’ for a
moment.
BUFFETT: Uh-huh.
ANDREW: Talk to you about how it came about in terms of the
White House getting in touch with you and you putting your name to
this.
BUFFETT: Well, (National Economic Council Director) Gene
Sperling called and said, `Can we use your name?'
And I said yes.
ANDREW: Are you— are you happy you said yes?
BUFFETT: Sure. I mean, I wrote about it.
ANDREW: Are you happy with the way it's being described?
Is the program that the White House has
presented, a million dollars and over, your program?
BUFFETT: Well, the precise program, which will— I don't know
what their program will be. My program would be
on the very high incomes that are taxed very low.
Not just high incomes.
ANDREW: OK.
BUFFETT: Some guy make a 50 million here playing baseball, his
taxes won't change. Make $50 million a year
appearing on television, his income won't change.
But if they make a lot of money and they pay a
very low tax rate, like me, it would be changed by a minimum tax
that would only bring them up to what the other people pay.
ANDREW: OK. So does that mean you disagree
with the president's new jobs proposal, which would be paid for by
raising taxes on households with incomes of over $250,000?
BUFFETT: Now that's another program that I won't be
discussing. I—my program...
ANDREW: Right.
BUFFETT: ...is to have a tax on ultra-rich people who are
paying very low tax rate, not just all the rich people; and it
would probably apply to 50,000 people in a population of 310
million.
ANDREW: OK. So, but that means you disagree with the president
on the 250,000.
BUFFETT: No. No, no, no. You may disagree with him, I don't
know.
ANDREW: No. I don't know, but I'm asking, so you agree
$250,000 is the right number?
BUFFETT: I will look at the overall plan that gets submitted
to Congress and which they are voting on and decide, net, do I like
it, or do I not like it. I— there's no question
there will be parts I'll disagree with, just like any plan.
ANDREW: And are you a supporter of his jobs program right
now?
BUFFETT: I am a supporter of the action he's trying to get the
Congress to join him in taking to really do something rather than
sit there and go in different directions.
ANDREW: But you agree with all the details or no?
BUFFETT: Oh, I haven't looked at all the details.
ANDREW: OK. Fair enough. Cathy, you know,
one of the conversations that we have always about Berkshire is
succession. It is an issue. And
as something who understands the culture of this company so well
and what Mr. Buffett has done for it, I'm curious if you could pick
his successor, what kind of person would it be?
Who would it be?
TAMRAZ: Well, I don't want to think about it, but since you're
making me think about it. He's irreplaceable in
terms of who he is. I think I'm not privy to
what's going on. That's at the board level, but
it's got to be somebody that knows how to motivate people because
the one thing that Warren Buffett does, not better than anything
else, because he's the capital...
ANDREW: Can the culture remain the same?
TAMRAZ: Yes. Because there are so many
people throughout the organization that live and breathe the same—
the culture that Warren has created and it's infectious.
I feel it myself after five and a half years in
the company. The culture will go on.
ANDREW: All right. Now you recently hired Ted Weschler to be
one of your investment managers.
BUFFETT: Right.
ANDREW: Some people have speculated he actually could
ultimately be CEO. He's not just been an
investment manager, but also a investment banker and has worked in
corporate America. How should we think about
him?
BUFFETT: We've got a lot of talent.
ANDREW: You've got a lot of talent. And will
you be— that— you have two. You've suggested that
you would go for— that you would have three in total.
BUFFETT: Possibly, possibly.
ANDREW: Possibly. Do you have a name already in your
hat?
BUFFETT: I've got a couple in my mind, but I'm very happy with
the two. I'll be happy if we have a third.
You know, and it's not essential at all,
but...
ANDREW: And none of those three do you think will become the
CEO of the company?
BUFFETT: Hard to tell. Hard to tell.
ANDREW: Final question, Berkshire Hathaway, long thought of as
a play on America, given the industrials and how much that
represents.
BUFFETT: Yeah.
ANDREW: So many people say we're going back into a recession.
You say what?
BUFFETT: Oh, we're not. We're not going— I
think it's very, very unlikely we'll go back into a recession.
We're coming out of a recession and what we've
been doing it since 2009, and a great majority of our businesses
are going to be earning more money than they did last year and the
year before.
ANDREW: Right. How much are you worried
about Europe impacting and infecting actually Berkshire's business
and our economy?
BUFFETT: I don't worry too much about it infecting us.
I worry about what will happen in Europe.
And it's bound to have some
fallout here. How it plays out, nobody knows.
All I know is our business is five years from now
and 10 years from now, and the country's businesses will be doing a
lot better than now.
ANDREW: You own some German bonds?
BUFFETT: We own German bonds.
ANDREW: German bonds.
BUFFETT: Yeah.
ANDREW: What kind of haircut do you want to take on
those?
BUFFETT: On German, no...
ANDREW: You think you're OK.
BUFFETT: They're in our— we have a German reinsurance
subsidiary that's on those bonds for a long, long time, and we're
fine with them. But we've sold other
countries.
ANDREW: Bank of America [BAC 6.12
-0.23
(-3.62%) ].
BUFFETT: Yeah.
ANDREW: Big deal for you. (CEO) Brian
Moynihan, since you— since you made your investment, a lot of
things have happened there. Did you expect those
things to happen...
BUFFETT: Well...
ANDREW: ...the way they have in terms of layoffs and
everything else?
BUFFETT: ...I expected him to clean up a lot of the problems
from the past, and they're going to take a long time to clean
up.
ANDREW: Right.
BUFFETT: I mean, two years from now and three years from now
you'll still see some headlines on it.
ANDREW: And your bet is that the company not only survives but
thrives?
BUFFETT: Sure.
ANDREW: Or you're just making a bet that you stick around and
you're going to get your dividend?
BUFFETT: No, it's a great underlying business.
It's a fabulous underlying business, but it's got
a lot of problems from the past. Brian didn't create those, he has
to— he has to clean up the mess. But I've been in
those kind of situations before.
ANDREW: Fair enough. Warren, thank you so much.
BUFFETT: OK. Thank you.
ANDREW: Cathy, congratulations on 50 years.
TAMRAZ: Thank you, Andrew. Thank you.
ANDREW: Let's hope there's 50 more. Back to
you guys, thanks so much.
HOBBS: So Andrew, has he invited you to the dinner
tonight?
ANDREW: I have not been invited. Warren has
not invited me. Am I invited to the dinner
tonight?
BUFFETT: No.
ANDREW: I don't know how much that plate costs, though. That's
a pricey plate.
BUFFETT: Let's— get out your wallet.
ANDREW: Yeah, I've got to get my wallet out, so. Anyway, back
to you guys.
BUFFETT: We're very selective.
HOBBS: Wow.
TAMRAZ: Oh.
BUFFETT: All you have to have is $1,000
or...(unintelligible).
HOBBS: Andrew Ross Sorkin with Warren Buffett.
RELATED LINKS
GOP Claims Warren Buffett Disagrees with Obama's 'Buffett
Rule' 5 hrs ago
Buffett Buying Stock Bargains, U.S. Recession 'Very, Very
Unlikely' 10 hrs ago
GOP's Perry: Buffett Doesn't Understand 'Real World' of
'Overtaxation' 29 Sep 2011
Berkshire's Best Day in 2-1/2 Years Puts Stock at Buyback's
Upper Limit 26 Sep 2011
Berkshire's Surprise Stock Buyback 'Authorization' 26 Sep
2011
Current Berkshire stock prices:
Class B: [BRK.B 71.04
-1.67 (-2.3%)
]
Class A: [BRK.A 106800.00
-2400.00 (-2.2%)
]
For more Buffett Watch updates follow alexcrippen on
Twitter.
Email comments to buffettwatch@cnbc.com
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发表于 2011-12-27 23:07:43
